Simulations using a Phillips curve-type relationship provide insights into the importance of demand versus supply for ...

The COVID-19 pandemic upended housing markets. This blog post launches an interactive chart that accompanies our research ...

11. Several central banks have started using scenarios in their communication with the public, including the Bank of Canada ...

As a community-engaged bank, the SF Fed seeks out real-time information on economic conditions by engaging with and learning ...

Leilani Barnett, senior outreach manager at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, shares insights from the 4th annual ...

As a community-engaged bank, the SF Fed seeks out real-time information on economic conditions by engaging with and learning from businesses, community organizations, and local leaders. These ...

The unemployment rate has risen over half a percentage point since the second quarter of 2023. Individual survey data underlying the unemployment rate can help in assessing which labor market ...

Extreme heat decreases labor productivity in sectors like construction, where much work occurs outdoors. Because construction is an important component of investment, lost productivity today will slow ...

The Diary of Consumer Payment Choice (Diary) is an ongoing annual research effort conducted by the Federal Reserve to better understand payment habits of the U.S. population. This paper highlights ...

The federal debt as a share of U.S. GDP is nearing its historical high from World War II. This ratio fell sharply over the three decades after World War II due to a primary surplus, rapid economic ...

The longest-term U.S. Treasury bonds that investors can buy mature in 30 years. Some other countries offer up to 50-year government bonds. Examining these foreign bond markets and extrapolating U.S.

Employment growth has consistently come in above pre-pandemic estimates of the rate needed for unemployment to stay near its long-run natural rate. Even so, unemployment has held steady, which raises ...